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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2017-06-28T16:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2017-06-28T16:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/12703/-1
CME Note: Start time of the CME was modified
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2017-07-01T16:26Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 5.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2017-07-03T04:50Z (-3.5h, +3.5h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:

Compiled module: CME_KINEMATICS_MODEL_PM2017.

CME speed from CACTUS:
28/06/2017 16:20
min V = 150
max V = 230

Most pr. speed:
V = 250
dV = 50

Duration in seconds:        391850.83
Duration in days:        4.5353105
t2 is negative

Acceleration of the CME:   0.69 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME in ACE orbit:  518.4 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 03/07/2017 Time: 05:10 UT

Lead Time: 30.77 hour(s)
Difference: -36.40 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2017-06-30T09:40Z

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